Graphic Packaging Reports Q4 & Full-Year 2025 Update on Paperboard Operations; Waco Ramp-Up Completed

PAPER INDUSTRY NEWS

Jino John

2/3/20261 min read

Atlanta, February 3, 2026Graphic Packaging Holding Company provided an update on its paperboard manufacturing and integrated packaging operations as part of its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings announcement, highlighting the successful ramp-up of its new recycled paperboard facility in Waco, disciplined capital spending, and a strategic pivot toward free cash flow generation and deleveraging.

Paperboard Market Environment

  • The company noted overcapacity in commodity bleached paperboard markets in North America and Europe, which has resulted in pricing pressure on finished packaging.

  • Near-term demand has been impacted by consumer value-seeking behavior and temporary pricing dislocations, though long-term competitive positioning remains intact.

Operational Performance & Footprint

  • Packaging volumes were down ~1% in Q4 2025 and flat for full-year 2025.

  • Pricing declined approximately 1% in Q4 and full-year 2025, reflecting market conditions.

  • The company continues to operate one of the largest and most integrated paperboard manufacturing footprints globally, supporting scale efficiencies and vertical integration.

Waco (Texas) & Kalamazoo (Michigan) Paperboard Mills

  • Waco recycled paperboard facility:

    • Successfully commenced commercial production in October 2025

    • Ramp-up progressing well, with quality on par with Kalamazoo

    • Total capital cost expected at approximately $1.67 billion, including ~$80 million of capitalized interest

  • Net recycled paperboard capacity increase is modest, following the 2025 closures of Middletown and East Angus mills, as well as other industry closures.

  • Operational investments are substantially complete, enabling:

    • Capital spending to decline to 5% or less of sales going forward

    • Improved integration rates across recycled, bleached and unbleached paperboard systems

Capital Expenditure & Cash Flow Discipline

  • 2025 capital spending totaled approximately $935 million, largely reflecting completion of the Waco project.

  • 2026 capital spending guidance reduced sharply to ~$450 million, reflecting:

    • Completion of major paperboard investments

    • A more disciplined approach to new capex approvals

  • The company expects Adjusted Free Cash Flow of $700–$800 million in 2026, driven by:

    • Lower capital spending

    • Inventory reduction (paperboard and finished goods)

    • Operational and SG&A cost reductions

Portfolio Optimization & Cost Actions

  • Graphic Packaging has initiated a comprehensive review of its global manufacturing footprint, with focus on:

    • Optimizing paperboard and converting assets

    • Improving return on invested capital

    • Aligning capacity with market demand

  • A dedicated Transformation Office has been established to drive:

    • Productivity improvements

    • Cost take-out initiatives

    • Manufacturing and organizational efficiency