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Smurfit Westrock Reports Strong Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results; Raises Dividend and Provides Positive 2026 Outlook
PAPER INDUSTRY NEWS
Jino John
2/11/20262 min read


Smurfit Westrock reported solid fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting strong cash generation, margin resilience, successful refinancing activity, continued integration progress, and a positive outlook for 2026.
Full-Year 2025 Financial Highlights
Net Sales: $31.18 billion
Adjusted EBITDA: $4.94 billion
Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 15.8%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.50 billion
Q4 2025 Financial Highlights
Net Sales: $7.58 billion
Adjusted EBITDA: $1.17 billion
Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 15.5%
Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $679 million
Regional Performance Overview
North America (FY 2025)
Net Sales: $18.6 billion
Adjusted EBITDA: $3.0 billion
EBITDA Margin: 16.1%
Corrugated volume: (7.0)% year-over-year
Key Updates:
Repositioning business for future growth
Reduction in number of loss-making operations
Continued footprint optimization
Ongoing investment in operations
Organizational changes to strengthen leadership and execution
EMEA & APAC (FY 2025)
Net Sales: $10.9 billion
Adjusted EBITDA: $1.62 billion
EBITDA Margin: 14.9%
Corrugated volume: +0.7%
Key Updates:
Industry-leading margins
Completed integration of consumer business
Ongoing footprint optimization
Identifying growth opportunities in APAC
Record quality score achieved
LATAM (FY 2025)
Net Sales: $2.1 billion
Adjusted EBITDA: $485 million
EBITDA Margin: 23.0%
Corrugated volume: (0.6)%
Key Updates:
Exceptional margin performance
Fully executed integration
Significant high-return growth opportunities identified
Capital Allocation & Balance Sheet Updates
Successful Refinancing
Issued:
$800 million 10-year bond
€500 million 6-year Green Bond
Extended next material debt maturity to March 2028
Dividend Increase
Quarterly dividend declared at $0.4523 per ordinary share
Represents a 5% increase versus prior dividend
Cost Synergies & Integration
Delivered above anticipated cost synergies
Continued integration of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock businesses
Ongoing restructuring and footprint optimization initiatives
Reduced number of loss-making operations
2025 restructuring costs totaled $385 million
Capital Expenditure (2026 Guidance)
$2.4 billion – $2.5 billion planned for 2026
Continued investment in optimization, growth and high-return projects
2026 Outlook
Management expects improved industry conditions despite recent weather disruptions.
Q1 2026 Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA: $1.1 billion – $1.2 billion
Full-Year 2026 Guidance
Adjusted EBITDA: $5.0 billion – $5.3 billion
Cash interest: ~$0.7 billion
Cash tax: ~$0.5 billion
Effective tax rate: ~29%
Depreciation & amortization: ~$2.6 billion
Operational Improvements & Recognition
Recognized by Forbes, Fortune and Time
Received over 230 awards across innovation, sustainability, workplace excellence, and customer service
Fitch credit rating upgraded to BBB+
North America On-Time-In-Full (OTIF) improved to 92%
Continued improvements in quality, productivity and utilization
Key Sensitivities
$50/ton price increase in North America → ~$400 million EBITDA impact
€40/ton price increase in EMEA & APAC → ~$250 million EBITDA impact
Strategic Priorities
During 2025, Smurfit Westrock:
Established a performance-led culture
Optimized operating model
Strengthened customer-centric focus
Advanced integration of combined businesses
Positioned company for long-term profitable growth
