Smurfit Westrock Reports Strong Q4 and Full-Year 2025 Results; Raises Dividend and Provides Positive 2026 Outlook

PAPER INDUSTRY NEWS

Jino John

2/11/20262 min read

Smurfit Westrock reported solid fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, highlighting strong cash generation, margin resilience, successful refinancing activity, continued integration progress, and a positive outlook for 2026.

Full-Year 2025 Financial Highlights

  • Net Sales: $31.18 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $4.94 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 15.8%

  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.50 billion

Q4 2025 Financial Highlights

  • Net Sales: $7.58 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.17 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 15.5%

  • Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $679 million

Regional Performance Overview

North America (FY 2025)

  • Net Sales: $18.6 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $3.0 billion

  • EBITDA Margin: 16.1%

  • Corrugated volume: (7.0)% year-over-year

Key Updates:

  • Repositioning business for future growth

  • Reduction in number of loss-making operations

  • Continued footprint optimization

  • Ongoing investment in operations

  • Organizational changes to strengthen leadership and execution

EMEA & APAC (FY 2025)

  • Net Sales: $10.9 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.62 billion

  • EBITDA Margin: 14.9%

  • Corrugated volume: +0.7%

Key Updates:

  • Industry-leading margins

  • Completed integration of consumer business

  • Ongoing footprint optimization

  • Identifying growth opportunities in APAC

  • Record quality score achieved

LATAM (FY 2025)

  • Net Sales: $2.1 billion

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $485 million

  • EBITDA Margin: 23.0%

  • Corrugated volume: (0.6)%

Key Updates:

  • Exceptional margin performance

  • Fully executed integration

  • Significant high-return growth opportunities identified

Capital Allocation & Balance Sheet Updates

Successful Refinancing

  • Issued:

    • $800 million 10-year bond

    • €500 million 6-year Green Bond

  • Extended next material debt maturity to March 2028

Dividend Increase

  • Quarterly dividend declared at $0.4523 per ordinary share

  • Represents a 5% increase versus prior dividend

Cost Synergies & Integration

  • Delivered above anticipated cost synergies

  • Continued integration of Smurfit Kappa and WestRock businesses

  • Ongoing restructuring and footprint optimization initiatives

  • Reduced number of loss-making operations

  • 2025 restructuring costs totaled $385 million

Capital Expenditure (2026 Guidance)

  • $2.4 billion – $2.5 billion planned for 2026

  • Continued investment in optimization, growth and high-return projects

2026 Outlook

Management expects improved industry conditions despite recent weather disruptions.

Q1 2026 Guidance

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $1.1 billion – $1.2 billion

Full-Year 2026 Guidance

  • Adjusted EBITDA: $5.0 billion – $5.3 billion

  • Cash interest: ~$0.7 billion

  • Cash tax: ~$0.5 billion

  • Effective tax rate: ~29%

  • Depreciation & amortization: ~$2.6 billion

Operational Improvements & Recognition

  • Recognized by Forbes, Fortune and Time

  • Received over 230 awards across innovation, sustainability, workplace excellence, and customer service

  • Fitch credit rating upgraded to BBB+

  • North America On-Time-In-Full (OTIF) improved to 92%

  • Continued improvements in quality, productivity and utilization

Key Sensitivities

  • $50/ton price increase in North America → ~$400 million EBITDA impact

  • €40/ton price increase in EMEA & APAC → ~$250 million EBITDA impact

Strategic Priorities

During 2025, Smurfit Westrock:

  • Established a performance-led culture

  • Optimized operating model

  • Strengthened customer-centric focus

  • Advanced integration of combined businesses

  • Positioned company for long-term profitable growth